15 Mar 2026

Can anyone actually win the Iran war?

From Sunday Morning, 8:12 am on 15 March 2026

British historian and geopolitical commentator Mark Almond says the US government may hope airstrikes and overwhelming force will bring Tehran to heel, but history suggests wars between democracies and ideological regimes rarely end so neatly. 

Almond, who has written for The Independent, Daily Mail and The Telegraph, among others, is the director of the Crisis Research Institute in Oxford (CRIOx), an organization dedicated to analyzing historical and contemporary crises. 

He joins Jim to discuss what history can teach us about the possible outcome of the Iran war. 

A man watches a televised statement by Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei on March 12, 2026. Iran's new supreme leader ordered the vital Strait of Hormuz oil shipping lane to remain closed on March 12, while US President Donald Trump said stopping the Islamic republic's "evil empire" was more important than crude prices. Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who was reportedly injured in an air strike, has yet to appear publicly since his nomination as supreme leader, and his defiant message was read by a newscaster on state television.

A man watches a televised statement by Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei on March 12, 2026. Photo: AFP